Sanders the favorite to win eleven Super Tuesday states

In FiveThirtyEight’s Democratic primary forecast, Bernie Sanders is now the favorite to win eleven states of the fourteen that vote on Super Tuesday.

Sanders has a 70 percent chance of winning the most votes in the California primary, a 71 percent chance in Colorado, 77 percent chance in Utah and 97 percent chance in his home state of Vermont.

The Vermont Senator also has greater odds of any other candidate in Texas, North Carolina, Virginia, Massachusetts, Colorado, Tennessee, Oklahoma and Maine. Michael Bloomberg is the favorite to win in Arkansas, Amy Klobuchar in her home state of Minnesota and Joe Biden in Alabama.

The forecast projects Sanders could pick up 523 of the 1,357 delegates up for grabs on Super Tuesday.

In a Morning Consult poll released last week, Sanders led by seven points across Super Tuesday states, winning 27 percent support on average.

Bernie Sanders remains in front on the eve of the Nevada caucuses, with a 13 point lead in the final Emerson poll in the state.

Sanders was the first choice of 30 percent of survey respondents. 17 percent said they would vote for Pete Buttigieg, while Joe Biden followed closely at 16 percent. Amy Klobuchar and Tom Steyer polled 11 percent and 10 percent respectively, while no other candidate reached double digit support in the survey.

Sanders leads among both white and non-white voters, and wins a majority of voters aged under 50 in the survey. Support for the Vermont Senator has increased 11 points since the last Emerson poll in the Silver State in November, while Joe Biden has seen a 14 point plunge.

The Emerson College poll of likely Democratic caucusgoers was conducted between February 19 and 20.

With just one day to go until the caucuses on Saturday, Sanders has a 73 percent chance of winning the most votes in Nevada, according to the FiveThirtyEight Democratic primary forecast.

Sanders the favorite to win eleven Super Tuesday states

Sanders with double digit lead on eve of Nevada caucuses

Sanders with double digit lead on eve of Nevada caucuses

Sanders leads Warren in her home state of Massachusetts