Three surveys of New Hampshire Democrats released on Thursday show Bernie Sanders with a solid lead in the Granite State.
Sanders’ best result is in an WHDH/Emerson poll, showing him ten points ahead of former South Bend mayor Pete Buttigieg. In that survey, Sanders has the support of 31 percent of Democratic primary voters.
A Boston Globe/Suffolk poll gives Sanders a six point advantage over Buttigieg, with the Vermont Senator winning 25 percent of the vote. In that survey, 56 percent of voters say they have decided who they will support, while 43 percent think they might change their mind before Tuesday’s primary.
In Thursday’s Monmouth University poll, Sanders’ lead is four points, winning 24 percent of the vote. Buttigieg is also second in this poll at 20 percent.
Because New Hampshire is an open primary state, winning independent voters is key to winning the Democratic primary. In the Monmouth poll, the Vermont Senator is the clear favorite among independents and other party voters, picking up 26 percent support.
An average of the three polls released Thursday gives Sanders a seven point lead in the Granite State, which votes on Tuesday 11 February.
In the Democratic primary forecast run by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight, Sanders has a 74 percent chance of winning in New Hampshire.