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Sanders leads Warren in her home state of Massachusetts

Photo by Bryan Giardinelli/Bernie 2020 Campaign Photographer

Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is under threat in her own state, with Bernie Sanders taking a narrow lead in a UMass Lowell poll released Friday.

Overall, 21 percent of likely Democratic primary voters in the Bay State said they supported Sanders, while 20 percent said they lean towards Elizabeth Warren.

Pete Buttigieg came in third with 15 percent, followed closely by Joe Biden on 14 percent and Michael Bloomberg on 12 percent. No other candidates polled in the double digits.

Sanders had the biggest lead among independent voters, winning 26 percent in that group to Warren’s 14 percent.

Warren has represented Massachusetts in the United States Senate since 2013, but carries one of the highest disapproval ratings of any sitting US Senator, at 40 percent.

The UMass Lowell survey of 450 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted between February 12 and 19. Massachusetts’ primary is held on Super Tuesday on March 3.

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Sanders the favorite to win eleven Super Tuesday states

Photo by Bryan Giardinelli/Bernie 2020 Campaign Photographer

In FiveThirtyEight’s Democratic primary forecast, Bernie Sanders is now the favorite to win eleven states of the fourteen that vote on Super Tuesday.

Sanders has a 70 percent chance of winning the most votes in the California primary, a 71 percent chance in Colorado, 77 percent chance in Utah and 97 percent chance in his home state of Vermont.

The Vermont Senator also has greater odds of any other candidate in Texas, North Carolina, Virginia, Massachusetts, Colorado, Tennessee, Oklahoma and Maine. Michael Bloomberg is the favorite to win in Arkansas, Amy Klobuchar in her home state of Minnesota and Joe Biden in Alabama.

The forecast projects Sanders could pick up 523 of the 1,357 delegates up for grabs on Super Tuesday.

In a Morning Consult poll released last week, Sanders led by seven points across Super Tuesday states, winning 27 percent support on average.

Sanders the favorite to win eleven Super Tuesday states

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