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Sanders leads in four New Hampshire polls on eve of primary

Photo via Bryan Lawrence/Bernie 2020

Four individual polls released on the eve of the first in the nation primary shows Bernie Sanders with an average 7.5 point lead in the Granite State.

In the final Emerson College tracking poll, Sanders was the first choice of 30 percent of likely primary voters, while Buttigieg was in second place at 23 percent, giving the Vermont Senator a seven point lead.

In the Suffolk University poll, conducted for the Boston Globe, Sanders’ advantage over Buttigieg was eight points, with Sanders polling at 27 percent to Buttigieg’s 19 percent.

Sanders’ lead was also eight points in a UMass Lowell survey, winning 25 percent support to Buttigieg’s 17 percent.

In a University of New Hampshire poll conducted for CNN, Sanders was the first choice of 29 percent of voters, while Buttigieg again came in second at 22 percent, giving the Vermont Senator a seven point lead.

Sanders’ average lead across the four polls released Monday is 7.5 points.

Other candidates did not fare so well, with only Elizabeth Warren hitting 15 percent support in any of the polls. Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren both averaged 12 percent across the four surveys.

In FiveThirtyEight’s Democratic primary forecast, Sanders has a 67 percent chance of winning the most votes in New Hampshire on Tuesday.

A national Quinnipiac poll, also released Monday, shows Sanders surging to first place with an eight point lead over former vice president Joe Biden.

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